Day: December 13, 2024

The Turf Program had a nice result in the 10th at Tampa, a $16K claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-old fillies and mares, with its first selection of #9 She’s a Keeper at 16-1, who had a total win probability of 23.82%, translating into theoretical odds of 3-1. The horse projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 29.7% with a Coefficient of Variance 6.82%, indicating average to below average risk. The horse had E1 and E2 estimates of 87.4% and 38% while having a COMP value of 47.6%, suggesting about 1-1 strength. In the race, She’s a Keeper led early on and nearly held on to the win down the stretch but was caught right at the wire by #10 Mrs. Katz, who was the third selection at 9-2. She’s a Keeper paid $14.20 for the place while the $1 exacta paid $67.

Race 10 at Aqueduct today, a $40K maiden race for two-year olds fillies, saw a great opportunity with #5 Backwater at 6-1, who had a total win probability of 25.29%, translating into theoretical odds of 3-1. The horse projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 84.3%, indicating 2-5 strength. In the race, Backwater had an easy time going wire to wire, winning by five lengths. The horse paid $14.20 for the win.

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In the 7th race at Aqueduct, the program had the exacta order correct with its selections of #5 Caldwell Luvs Gold at 7-5 and #7 Striker Has Dial at 3-1. Down the stretch, Striker Has Dial was leading until Caldwell Luvs Gold turned accelerated in the center of the track and took down the leader. The $1 exacta paid $7.60.

The program had a nice result in the 3rd race at Tampa today, a $8K claiming race at 5 1/2f on the dirt for three-year-old fillies and mares. The first selection was #2 Go Go Star at 13-1 with a total win probability of 27.76%, converting to theoretical odds of 5-2. The horse projected first in final speed with a 52.6% win estimate while having a slightly high CV value of 12.26%. In the race, the favorite, #6, Twizzle went wire-to-wire while Go Go Star held on for second. The program had the order of the exacta reversed. The $1 exacta paid $26.90. Go Go Star paid $7.60 for the place.