By Race 10 at Aqueduct today, a $40K maiden race for two-year olds fillies, saw a great opportunity with #5 Backwater at 6-1, who had a total win probability of 25.29%, translating into theoretical odds of 3-1. The horse projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 84.3%, indicating 2-5 strength. In the race, Backwater had an easy time going wire to wire, winning by five lengths. The horse paid $14.20 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 