Day: February 1, 2025

Race 6, Santa Anita, Fri., Jan. 31

As has always been said about the Pro-Handicap Wizard method, the way to consistent profitability is to find heavily discounted horses, which can be seen in positive expected ROI calculations of the program. Postive ROI values of 100% or more are generally good candidates for selection. In the sixth race at Santa Anita, a $16K claiming race at 1 mi on the dirt for four-year-olds, #9 Travel the Map and #2 Damazio at 13-1 had the highest expected ROIs with values of 331% and 87%. Damazio was undervalued in having a 14% win percentage (6-1 equivalent strength) and a 35.4% COMP value (2-1 equivalent strength) strength while the horse had relatively low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 6.84%. The COMP value shows the relative strength of a horses components in the simulation in the aggregate against those of the other horses. In the race, Damazio raced mid pack through the opening quarter and half-mile and then saved ground running along the rail until the stretch when he made a move to the center of the track and accelerated to run down the favorite #8 Smokem EZ at 6-5. Damazio paid $29.80 for the win. An actual positive result for this race is shown below.