The program had an excellent result in the 6th race today at Tampa Bay, a $32K optional claiming race at 7f on the dirt for three-year-olds fillies, with its first selection of #5 Costa Amalfitana at 6-1. The horse had a total win probability of 24.62%, translating to theoretical odds of 3-1. Costa Amalfitana projected first in final speed with a 47.7% win estimate while having elevated risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 17.02. In the case of this race, risk went in favor of Costa Amalfitana, who closed nicely down the stretch to get the win as an overlay. Costa Amalfitana paid $14.40 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 