The program did well in the 1st races at Tampa Bay and Gulfstream today, having the winners in both with its first selectoins. At Tampa, #7 Indo Maria at 8-5 was the first selection with a total probabilities of 29.49%, converting to theoretical odds of 2-1. The second selection was #5 Smart Joker at 5-2, who had a total win probability of 25.64%, which converted to theoretical odds of 5-2. That was the order of finish (7-5), with #7 Indo Maria holding off Smart Joker late for the win. Not only did the program have the exacta, it hit the tri-fecta cold with #6 Point Liam being the third selection. Indo Maria paid $5.20 for the win.
At Gulfstream, the program had the winner with its first selection of #1 Come Dream with me at 5-2. The horse had a total win probability of 30.58%, converting to odds of 2-1. Come Dream projected strong late speed with a LP win estimate of 42.3%, which he showed in the race down the stretch, as well as a high COMP value at 52.9% (4-5 equivalent strength on a component level in the simulation). Come Dream paid $7.40 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 