Day: April 20, 2025

Another good turf result was seen in the 5th race at Tampa, a $53K allowance race at 1 mi. on the turf for four-year-old fillies and mares, with the 1st selection, #9 Dreaming of Abba at 2-1. The horse had a total win probability of 31.52%, converting to odds of 2-1. Dreaming Abba projected 1st in final speed with a 65.8% (3-5 equivalent strength in odds) win estimate while having low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 3.63%. Dreaming of Abba turned in a gritty performance, weaving through traffic coming out of the far turn and accelerating down the strength to win by a neck in an exciting finish. The horse paid $6.20 for the win. The 2-1 theoretical odds shows again how accurate the program is in exactly matching the live odds of the horse through its combination of projections and historical win percentage with money finishes.

The program had two excellent results in turf races at Gulfstream today beginning in the first with its first selection, #9 Blossoming Erudite, who won at 6-1 while having theoretical odds of 2-1. The second was with #7 Chess Master in the 7th, who also won at 6-1 while having theoretical odds of 5-2. These are textbook examples of E/V (Expected Value) positive horses that can be found with the program who have excellent changes of winning and winning at good prices. Blossoming Erudite paid $14 and Chess Master paid $16.50 for the wins. These races illustrate again the advantage to be obtained with the Turf Program, which uses only turf data instead of both dirt and turf data.

Race 1 – $35K claiming race at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year-old-fillies

Race 7 – $25K OC at 5f on the turf for three-year-olds