The program had a nice result today in the 6th at Churchill, a $45K claiming race at 6f on the dirt for four-year-olds and up, having the winner with its first selection of #9 Appeal Denied at 9-2. The horse had a total win probability of 26.8%, translating to odds of 5-2. Appeal Denied projected strongly in E1 and E2 with estimates of 86.2% and 69.4%, fitting well the 6f distance, while having the highest win percentage in the field at 22.9% (about 3-1 equivalent strength). In the race, the favorite, #1 Mr. Puk, led through the opening quarter mile, which was run in a blistering 21.76, while Appeal Denied stalked just behind him and to the outside in second position. Appeal Denied then gained on Mr. Puk around the far turn before taking the lead down the stretch. The horse went on for the win and paid $11.98.
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