By The program had some excellent results yesterday at both Parx and Churchill. At Parx in the 1st race, a $12.5K claiming race at 6 1/2f on the dirt for three-year-olds, the program had the winner with its first selection of #4 Problems Around at 5-1. The horse had a a total win probability of 34.48%, translating to theoretical odds of 9-5. Problems Around projected 1st in final speed with a win estimate of 46.3% along with having a COMP value of 58.7%. The horse’s risk was elevated with a Coefficient of Variance of 12.80% but so was the risk of the other horses in this race. In the race, Problems Abound went wire to wire in the win, paying $12.00.
In race 7 at Churchill, a $20K Allowance race at 6f on the dirt for four-year-olds fillies and mares, the program’s 3rd selection, #1 Abitibi, won at 20-1. The horse projected 2nd in final speed with a win estimate of 25.2% (3-1 equivalent strength) while having low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 6.63%. The horse was able to maintain its recent good form and win at a big price with a total win probability of 12.27% or 7-1 theoretical odds. Abitibi paid $27.58 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 