Month: July 2025

In the one graded stakes race at Del Mar today, the $150K Fleet Treat Stakes at 7f for three-year-old filles and mares in race 8, the Grey Program had the winner with its first selection of #3 Om N Joy at 5-2. The horse had a total win probability of 27.70%, translating to theoretical odds of 5-2 (matching the live odds). Most notably, Om N Joy projected first in LP with a win estimate of 97.7% (an unheard of value). In the race, Om N Joy made a move toward the rail around the far turn before before launching to the lead down the stretch. The horse paid $7.60 for the win.

The Turf Program had a nice result in the 4th at Del Mar today, an $80K OC at 5f on the turf for three-year-olds and up, where the program had the tri-fecta order among its first three selection of #2 Yellow Card at 5-2, #4 Book Smart at 5-1 and #6 Patron D’Oro at 13-1. Although Yellow Card projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 43.4% and was the class in the race with an “in the money” win percentage of 70.%, Book Smart best in E1 and E2 with win estimates of 64.2% and 76.9%. In the race, Book Smart’s projections held up with the horse going wire to wire while fending off a late charging Yellow Card in a photo finish. Book Smart paid $12.80 for the win. The $2 ex. paid $47.20 and the $0.50 tri-fecta paid $80.90. This result again shows the strength of the Turf Program, which filters and calculates only turf data. Nice win for Mike Smith.

In the $1 mil. Haskell Stakes yesterday, the program had the exacta order correct with its first two selections of #2 Journalism at 2-5 and #6 Gosger at 6-1. In an exciting finish, Journalism rallied from off the pace to beat Gosger and #8 Goal Oriented down the stretch at the wire. To see the images in full-resolution, click on it and then on the encircled “i” in the bottom right hand corner. Click on the “full-size” link in the center.

The Grey Program had a fine result in the 8th at Monmouth, a $12.5K claiming race at 5 1/2 f for three-year-olds fillies and mares, with its first selection of #7 Karen’s Honor at 7-1. The horse had a total win probability of 32.29%, translating to theoretical odds of 2-1. Karen’s Honor projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 54.6% while having the highest win percentage in the field at 22.2%. The horse also had fairly low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 6.2%. Karen’s Honor paid $16 for the win.

Continuing its good results from yesterday, the Turf Program had another excellent result today in the 5th at Monmouth, a $40K claiming race at 5 1/2 f on the turf for fillies and mares three-years-old and up, having the tri-fecta order correct with its first three selections of #2 Mischief Maxey at 3-1, #5 West Loop at 4-1 and #6 Definite Diva at 5-2. Mischief Maxey rallied inside the last sixteen on the inside part of the track to get the win in a photo with West Loop. The $0.50 tri-fecta paid $35.60.