Day: July 26, 2025

In the one graded stakes race at Del Mar today, the $150K Fleet Treat Stakes at 7f for three-year-old filles and mares in race 8, the Grey Program had the winner with its first selection of #3 Om N Joy at 5-2. The horse had a total win probability of 27.70%, translating to theoretical odds of 5-2 (matching the live odds). Most notably, Om N Joy projected first in LP with a win estimate of 97.7% (an unheard of value). In the race, Om N Joy made a move toward the rail around the far turn before before launching to the lead down the stretch. The horse paid $7.60 for the win.

The Turf Program had a nice result in the 4th at Del Mar today, an $80K OC at 5f on the turf for three-year-olds and up, where the program had the tri-fecta order among its first three selection of #2 Yellow Card at 5-2, #4 Book Smart at 5-1 and #6 Patron D’Oro at 13-1. Although Yellow Card projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 43.4% and was the class in the race with an “in the money” win percentage of 70.%, Book Smart best in E1 and E2 with win estimates of 64.2% and 76.9%. In the race, Book Smart’s projections held up with the horse going wire to wire while fending off a late charging Yellow Card in a photo finish. Book Smart paid $12.80 for the win. The $2 ex. paid $47.20 and the $0.50 tri-fecta paid $80.90. This result again shows the strength of the Turf Program, which filters and calculates only turf data. Nice win for Mike Smith.