Month: August 2025

Del Mar Race Notes for Sat., Aug 30, 2025

Here are the race notes from yesterday at Del Mar, covering the G1 Pacific Classic in race 10 with Journalism and Fierceness. The program performed very well as seen below:

Primary winners: 2 / 7 → 28.6%

Winner in Top-2: 6 / 7 → 85.7%

Winner in Top-3: 6 / 7 → 85.7%

Exacta covered by Top-3 box: 3 / 7 → 42.9%

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/summary/RaceCardIndexDMR083025USA-EQB.html

Race 9: #10 Motorious (GB) at 9-5 wins after DQ by #12 Reef Runner at 18-1 (Reef Runner bumped Motorious coming out of the gate), demoting him to second.

Saratoga Card for Fri., Aug. 29, 2029

Here is the complete card for Saratoga yesterday (Friday) and link to the results. The program had some excellent results as seen below:

Primary winners: 3 out of 8 (R1 Tax Implications, R4 Killy Start, R9 Baby Yoda)

Primary Win Rate: 37.5% (3 of 8)

Winner in Top-2: 62.5% (5 of 8)

Winner in Top-3: 75.0% (6 of 8)

Value highlight: R12 #5 Caviar Breakfast (33-1) placed. The program nearly hit a huge exacta (+$200) with its secondary and tertiary picks of #4 and #5 in this race.

https://www.offtrackbetting.com/results/82/saratoga-%28tb%29.html

Race 10 and 5 at Saratoga, Thurs., Aug. 28, 2025

Here’s a peek at the new format covering the 10th race at Saratoga today, a $50K claiming race at 1 mi. on the firm inner turf. The program had the winner with its primary selection in #1 Cynane at 2-1 while also having the exacta and tri-fecta with its top three selections. Its tertiary (3rd) selection, #11 Artistic Success at 5-1, finished second and the secondary selection, #4 Competitive Threat at 8-5, finished third in a close finish. This is the type of success the program should have in now being calibrated to all the tracks individually with their particular signatures in sprint and route races. What this means is that the metrics (e.g., SPD, E1, E2, LP, COMP, and WP%) are all optimally configured to the track, surface and distance of the race, representing an improvement from the previous weighting system in 4.3 PHW Grey, which was static for all the tracks (though changeable). Cynane paid $6.00 for the win. The $2 exacta paid $41.60. To see the race cheat notes in high-definition, click on the encircled “i” in the bottom right-hand corner. Scroll down and then click on the “full-size” link at the bottom. The text of the race report will then become clearer.

Another good result today was in the 5th at Saratoga, a $50K OC at 6 1/2f on the dirt for three-year-olds. In a tough race to handicap due to elevated chaos (volatility), as indicated by the Chaos Index (3.4/5), the program had the exacta order with its secondary selection of #8, Souper Tuscan, at 11-1 and #7 Bear Claw Necklace at 4-1. In the race, #1 Bob’s Carrot and #8 Souper Tuscan jumped out to an early lead before Souper Tuscan left Bob’s Carrot behind at the half mile pole. Souper Tuscan extended his lead coming out of the far turn until a late charge by Bear Claw Necklace, who nearly caught Souper Tuscan at the wire. The $2 exacta (8-7) paid $102. These selections are independent of the live or final odds and come purely from the program and the processed data.

Race Analytics for Saratoga and Travers Stakes, Sat., Aug. 23, 2025

The evolution of handicapping: Pro-Handicap Analytics. Combining rigorous statistical analysis—including Monte Carlo simulation—with enhanced AI insight, this report turns raw figures into decision-ready probabilities. Built on the proven Pro-Handicap Wizard 4.3 foundation, we simulate SPD, E1, E2, LP as distributions (not one-off numbers), then synthesize field-comparable COMP, class-aware WP% (win/ITM adjusted for stakes), and CV (variance/risk). The result is a calibrated view of how often each horse’s typical trip actually materializes—no manual weight-tuning required.

We also bring to the forefront what most players only sense: race chaos. Our first-in-practice Chaos Index quantifies outcome volatility from the win-probability distribution, so you tighten up when chalk should hold and expand/seek price when uncertainty spikes. The layout is bettor-native: Primary (A/anchor), Secondary (co-key, value complement), and Tertiary/Spoiler (live upsetter), followed by concise race notes translating numbers into trip, risks, and why the horse qualifies—using the same metrics you see in the headers (e.g., ITM @ Track). In short, this is handicapping that thinks for you: simulations and statistics for truth, AI for clarity and consistency. It’s not just a report—it’s a modern, repeatable edge.

Announcement, Sat., Aug. 9, 2025

Effective August 9, 2025, Pro-Handicap Wizard will no longer be offered for sale. We are shifting our focus to delivering advanced, real-time horse racing analytics directly to the racing community.

We thank our customers for their loyalty and support over the years.

Pro-Handicap Wizard is leading a new era in intelligent handicapping — and the most exciting developments are still to come. Stay tuned.