By The Turf Program had a nice result in the 4th at Saratoga, a $75K OC at 5 1/2f on the turf for three-year-olds and up, having the winner with its first selection of #5 Run Curtis Run at 5-2. The horse had a total win probability of 21.18%, converting to theoretical odds of 7-2. Run Curtin Run projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 40.3% and also first in LP with a win estimate of 51.5%. Its’ LP strength was decisive in the race. Down the stretch, Run Curtin Run shot through a gap on the inside of the track and continued to accelerate to win by a landslide. Run Curtin Run paid $7.50 for the win.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 