Day: October 13, 2025

Today the “race sheets” for Keeneland were generated for the first time today with the AI-enabled program. The following is an analysis of the results and win distribution.

https://handicapwizard.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/kee1012_r8.5u_report_from_allinclusive-1.pdf

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/summary/KEE101225USA-EQB.html

🔹 Win Distribution
Pick Slot Races Won Hit Rate
Primary 2 of 6 — 33 %
Secondary 1 of 6 —17 %
Tertiary 2 of 6 —33 %
Any of the Three (Win) 5 of 6 races (83 %) —
💠 Exacta Accuracy (Top 2 Correct in Any Order)

3 of 6 races (50 %) contained both the Win and Place horses within the model’s three selections.

Exacta Hits:

Race 3 — #1 Track Mate / #2 Implementation

Race 4 — #1 Windy Walk / #6 Mercy Warren

Race 5 — #5 Common Defense / #3 El Rezeen

📈 Overall Model Summary

✅ 5 of 6 races won by one of the three model picks
✅ 3 of 6 races had the exacta within the model
✅ Every race produced at least one board-hit
✅ Primary and Tertiary slots shared equal win count, confirming balanced value/chaos distribution

The new AI-enabled, track-customized program had an excellent result in the 8th at Santa Anita tonight, a $50K OC at 1 mi. on the dirt, having the exacta order correct with its selections of #4 Shared Future at 7-2 odds and #5 No Cap at 6-1. The $1 ex. paid $32.20. The Chaos Index reading of 1.8 indicated that the setup for this race was orderly, where the chalk (according to the model) could be expected to finish well without surprises. Again, the Chaos Index is one that quantifies the riskiness/chaos of a race to allow for reactive tactical plays. A new feature of the race notes is a row with “Value Picks”, showing discounted horses according to their metrics converted to odds. To see the images in high resolution, click on one and then on the encircled “i” in the bottom right hand corner.