By A new feature has been added to the TrackIQ report, called “field risk”. It appears in the shaded race block and is a race-level measure that captures how unstable or unpredictable the entire field is, independent of any single horse. It reflects the distribution and dispersion of probabilities across the field—when many horses carry similar win chances, elevated volatility, or mixed profiles, field risk rises. In practical terms, high field risk signals that outcomes are more sensitive to pace disruptions, trip variance, or minor inefficiencies in the market, while low field risk indicates a more orderly race where the hierarchy is clearer. This metric adds context beyond pace alone, helping the report flag when confidence should be tempered and when pricing discipline matters most.
The Chaos Index, by contrast, is a barometer of disorder. It doesn’t describe the field’s balance—it signals how likely the race is to break away from expectations due to pace shocks, profile mismatches, or nonlinear outcomes. A race can have low field risk but a rising Chaos Index if something about the setup invites disruption, and vice versa.
Here’s how the feature appeared in TrackIQ report in the 8th at AQU, a race in which the program had the exacta order correct in reverse order with the Primary and Secondary selections of #6 Reliable Lade at 5-1 and #4 Mega Mil at 1-1. The $1. ex. paid $19.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 