In race 2 at the Fairgrounds today, a $15K clm. race at 1m70 on the dirt for three and four-year-olds, the odds’ structure was similar to that seen in the races below with the reverse wheel strategy where an overbet favorite was beaten by horses below that tier. However, in this race, the Primary pick, #3 Prince Day, was a substantial overlay with 5-1 odds (versus 2-1 theoretical odds) while the secondary choice, #7 Ain’t No Disco, was a heavy underlay at 3-5 (versus 3.2-1 theoretical). In spite of the elevated Chaos Index at 3.4, the race went according to projections with Prince Day winning handily followed by Ain’t No Disco second, who barely held on for that position at the wire. The odds valuation of the AI-enabled and track-specialized program for FGX was more accurate. Prince Day paid $13.60 for the win and the $1 ex. paid $21.60—a nice result for a Primary horse that was 5-1.
Race 2 at FGX
Race 6 at GPX
This odds pattern was seen later in the day at Gulfstream in race 6, a $20K OClm at 5ft on the turf. The Primary selection, #1 Stick McSchnickens went off at 8-5 (versus theoretical odds of about 3.4-1) while the Tertiary selection, #2 Quizzler won at 7-1 (versus theoretical odds of 4.7-1) . The $1 ex. with the reverse wheel (S,T/P) paid $33.70
Pro-Handicap Analytics 