By The Overlay Map had a nice result in the 3rd race today at Aqueduct, a $10K claiming race at 1 3/16 mi. on the dirt. The two horses that were flagged as buy (discounted Win Percentage adjusted for stakes relative to their M/L), #1 First Trumpet at 7-1 and #4 Centavo at 17-1, came in 2nd and 1st, respectively, at big prices while defeating two favorites at 8/5 each and a third horse at 2-1. Centavo made a three wide move around the far turn and then took the lead at the top of the stretch before going on to win by four lengths. Centavo paid $37.50 for the win. Again. this race shows that outcomes are not controllable but good risk taking is and it can lead to profitable results.
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