For the first time, the AI-enabled program generated race analyses and notes yesterday for Churchill Downs, using back-tested and optimized variables in sprint and route races. The results were excellent. The program had winners with its primary selections in three out of the five races covered, including the 1st (#1 Counterthebrave – $6.70), 5th (#6 Uncashed – $3.56) and the 7th (#3 Bernin Hot – $10.30) for a hit rate of 60%. Additionally, the program had the winner with its tertiary selection in race 8 with #10 Taylor’s Version at 5-1. In total, the program had an 80% win rate with P/S/T (1st/2nd/3rd) selections. In terms of exotics, the program had the exacta order correct in race 5 with its Primary and Secondary picks (6-7) and again in race 7 with its Primary and Tertiary picks (3-7). It had the tri-fecta horses as well in race 7 with 3-7-1. The $1 exacta paid $38.17.

Click to access cdx0918_report.pdf

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/summary/CD091825USA-EQB.html

Race 7

The tailored program for Del Mar had another excellent day today, having winners with its primary pick in 62.5% (5 out of 8) of the races covered. That’s a performance unmatched by other handicapping software, whose hit rates normally don’t exceed around 37% for first selections. The full results are below.

Primary + Secondary (either one wins)

R1: Primary (miss), Secondary #4 Tariff ($4.20) → won (hit)

R2: Primary (miss), Secondary #4 → 2nd (miss)

R4: Primary #10 Last Call Zondlo ($11.40) → won (hit)

R5: Primary (miss), Secondary not winner → (miss)

R7: Primary #3 Maycama ($7.80) → won (hit)

R9: Primary #5 The Padre ($3.40) → won (hit)

R10: Primary #3 Shea Brennan ($7.80) → won (hit)

R11: Primary #6 Kikuride → ($4.40) won (hit)

✅ Primary+Secondary hit rate: 6 of 8 races = 75% winners covered by top 2.

Top 3 combined: 100% winners (one from primary, secondary or tertiary picks won every race).

Click to access dmr0831_report_fixed_clean.pdf

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/summary/RaceCardIndexDMR083125USA-EQB.html

Here are the race notes from yesterday at Del Mar, covering the G1 Pacific Classic in race 10 with Journalism and Fierceness. The program performed very well as seen below:

Primary winners: 2 / 7 → 28.6%

Winner in Top-2: 6 / 7 → 85.7%

Winner in Top-3: 6 / 7 → 85.7%

Exacta covered by Top-3 box: 3 / 7 → 42.9%

Click to access dmr0830_report_r52_align_1756590764.pdf

https://www.equibase.com/static/chart/summary/RaceCardIndexDMR083025USA-EQB.html

Race 9: #10 Motorious (GB) at 9-5 wins after DQ by #12 Reef Runner at 18-1 (Reef Runner bumped Motorious coming out of the gate), demoting him to second.

Here is the complete card for Saratoga yesterday (Friday) and link to the results. The program had some excellent results as seen below:

Primary winners: 3 out of 8 (R1 Tax Implications, R4 Killy Start, R9 Baby Yoda)

Primary Win Rate: 37.5% (3 of 8)

Winner in Top-2: 62.5% (5 of 8)

Winner in Top-3: 75.0% (6 of 8)

Value highlight: R12 #5 Caviar Breakfast (33-1) placed. The program nearly hit a huge exacta (+$200) with its secondary and tertiary picks of #4 and #5 in this race.

Click to access sar0829_report_align_1756483423.pdf

https://www.offtrackbetting.com/results/82/saratoga-%28tb%29.html

Here’s a peek at the new format covering the 10th race at Saratoga today, a $50K claiming race at 1 mi. on the firm inner turf. The program had the winner with its primary selection in #1 Cynane at 2-1 while also having the exacta and tri-fecta with its top three selections. Its tertiary (3rd) selection, #11 Artistic Success at 5-1, finished second and the secondary selection, #4 Competitive Threat at 8-5, finished third in a close finish. This is the type of success the program should have in now being calibrated to all the tracks individually with their particular signatures in sprint and route races. What this means is that the metrics (e.g., SPD, E1, E2, LP, COMP, and WP%) are all optimally configured to the track, surface and distance of the race, representing an improvement from the previous weighting system in 4.3 PHW Grey, which was static for all the tracks (though changeable). Cynane paid $6.00 for the win. The $2 exacta paid $41.60. To see the race cheat notes in high-definition, click on the encircled “i” in the bottom right-hand corner. Scroll down and then click on the “full-size” link at the bottom. The text of the race report will then become clearer.

Another good result today was in the 5th at Saratoga, a $50K OC at 6 1/2f on the dirt for three-year-olds. In a tough race to handicap due to elevated chaos (volatility), as indicated by the Chaos Index (3.4/5), the program had the exacta order with its secondary selection of #8, Souper Tuscan, at 11-1 and #7 Bear Claw Necklace at 4-1. In the race, #1 Bob’s Carrot and #8 Souper Tuscan jumped out to an early lead before Souper Tuscan left Bob’s Carrot behind at the half mile pole. Souper Tuscan extended his lead coming out of the far turn until a late charge by Bear Claw Necklace, who nearly caught Souper Tuscan at the wire. The $2 exacta (8-7) paid $102. These selections are independent of the live or final odds and come purely from the program and the processed data.