Sam F. Davis Stakes

Received news today from a customer of the software, Kevin B. from Illinois, who used it to handicap the Sam F. Davis Stakes this past weekend at Tampa, that the Handicap Wizard correctly predicted #2 Flameaway to win. At 10-1, Flameaway defeated the heavy favorite, Catholic Boy at 1-2.

https://www.paulickreport.com/news/triple-crown/flameaway-upsets-heavily-favored-catholic-boy-sam-f-davis/

“According to the tote board, Catholic Boy (1-2) was going to walk all over the other five sophomore colts entered in Saturday’s G3 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs. But when the favorite drew even with 10-1 frontrunner Flameaway at the head of the lane, there was another story to be told. Jose Lezcano and Flameaway re-rallied in the stretch and fought all the way to the wire, beating Catholic Boy by a half-length to earn 10 points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. The Ontario-bred son of Scat Daddy, trained by Mark Casse for John Oxley, covered 1 1/16 miles over Tampa’s fast main track in 1:42.44.”

Race 5 at Santa Anita on 2/9

The 5th race at Santa Anita today demonstrated as well as any race the value of the balanced approach of the Handicap Wizard. In a five horse field of four-year olds and upward, Dukes Up at 5-2 defeated two favorites over 1 1/16 mi. on the main track, including Saint Dermot at 9-5 and Southern Freedom at 7-5. Despite not having the most speed in the race, with only a 19% probability to win in that category versus 32% and 34% of the other horses, Dukes Up’s superior winning percentage (39%) carried him home to victory. It goes to show that speed is not everything, and that winning percentage, adjusted for stakes, can more than compensate.