The program had some excellent results during the opening day at Belmont at Saratoga today. In the 8th, the $200K Critical Eye Stakes (run at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt for fillies and mares three-years old and up), the program had the exacta order correct with its first and second selections of #8 Bernietakescharge at 9-1 an #8 Sterling Takes Silver at 1-4. Bernietakescharge turned in a gritty performance down the stretch, turning back the heavy favorite, Sterling Silver, to get the upset. Bernietakecharge paid $20.00 for the win.

In the 9th, the $200K Mt. Vernon Stakes (run at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for fillies and mares four-years-old and up), the Turf program had the winner with its first selections of #2 Spinning Colors at 7-1. The horse had a total win probability of 34.36%, converting to theoretical odds of 2-1. Spinning Colors projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 48.7% while having low risk with a Coeffficient of Variance of 5.97%. Additionally, the horse had a COMP value 66.3%, signaling further strength for the horse on a component level in the projections. In the race, Spinning Colors led early through opening fractions of 25 and 50 secs. The horse continued to lead around the far turn and down the final stretch, winning by two lengths in the end. Spinning Colors paid $16.20 for the win. This race was an excellent opportunity to take advantage of a horse that was clearly mispriced by the pool.

https://videopress.com/v/roUvFmO2?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true

The program saw good results in two graded stakes races at Churchill yesterday. In the $275K Blame Stakes in the 10th, run at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt for four-year olds and up, the program’s second selection, 2024 Kentucky Derby winner–Mystic Dan, won at 3-1 with a total probability of 21.04% (7-2 theoretical odds). Mystik Dan paid $8.12 for the win.

And in the 11th, the $275K Regret Stakes at 1 1/8 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds fillies and mares, the program had the exacta order with its third and first selections of #8 Fionn at 4-1 and #6 Totally Justified at 4-1. The $1 exacta paid $32.90.

The program got off to a good start at Monmouth today in the first, a $16K maiden claiming race at 5 1/2 f on the dirt for fillies and mares three-year-olds and up, having the winner with its first selection of #6 Horseplay at 9-1. Horseplay had a total win probability of 37.59%, converting to theoretical odds of 8-5. The horse projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 62.8% while having the second high win percentage at 29.7%. Coming off the layoff, Horseplay took charge early and never looked back, winning by three lengths. Horseplay paid $20.40 for the win.

The program had winners with its first selections in two of the graded stakes races at Santa Anita today. The first was in the 7th (the $300K G1 Gamely Stakes at 1 1/8 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds fillies and mares) with #8 Be Your Best at 2-1 and the second in the 8th (the $200K G2 Hollywood Gold Cup at 1 1/4 mi. on the dirt for three-year-olds and up) with #5 Skippylongstocking at 4-5. Be Your Best had a total win probability of 22.19% (7-2 theoretical odds)while Skippylongstocking had a total win probability of 39.22% (3-2 theoretical odds).

Race 7

Race 8

The Turf Program had a nice result in the 3rd race today at Monmouth, a $50K allowance race at 5 1/2 f on the dirt for three-year-olds and up, having the tri-fecta horses among its first three selections #5 Fadethenoise at 5-1, #8 Big Z OG at 7-2 and #3 Jungle Glow at 5-1. Both Big Z OG and Jungle Glow projected well in E1 and E2 with estimates of (43.17% and 15.4%) and (20.3% and 27.2%). That was the order of the exacta (8-3). The exacta paid $28.20 and $0.50 trifecta paid $36.80.