In the $1 mil. Haskell Stakes yesterday, the program had the exacta order correct with its first two selections of #2 Journalism at 2-5 and #6 Gosger at 6-1. In an exciting finish, Journalism rallied from off the pace to beat Gosger and #8 Goal Oriented down the stretch at the wire. To see the images in full-resolution, click on it and then on the encircled “i” in the bottom right hand corner. Click on the “full-size” link in the center.

The Grey Program had a fine result in the 8th at Monmouth, a $12.5K claiming race at 5 1/2 f for three-year-olds fillies and mares, with its first selection of #7 Karen’s Honor at 7-1. The horse had a total win probability of 32.29%, translating to theoretical odds of 2-1. Karen’s Honor projected first in final speed with a win estimate of 54.6% while having the highest win percentage in the field at 22.2%. The horse also had fairly low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 6.2%. Karen’s Honor paid $16 for the win.

Continuing its good results from yesterday, the Turf Program had another excellent result today in the 5th at Monmouth, a $40K claiming race at 5 1/2 f on the turf for fillies and mares three-years-old and up, having the tri-fecta order correct with its first three selections of #2 Mischief Maxey at 3-1, #5 West Loop at 4-1 and #6 Definite Diva at 5-2. Mischief Maxey rallied inside the last sixteen on the inside part of the track to get the win in a photo with West Loop. The $0.50 tri-fecta paid $35.60.

Using both the Grey and Turf programs, the Handicap Wizard had winners in four out of eight races today (with enough data), including in the 5th (a $59K maiden race at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds) with Perrota at 4-1, in the 6th, 7th and 9th (a $16K claiming race at 5 1/2 f on the turf for three-year-olds fillies and mares) with #4 Mexican Sugar at 7-1. In both races, it was the horse’s “in the money” win percentage that was dominant, 88.5% in the case of Perrota and 88.9% in the case of Mexican Sugar. Here the user of the Handicap Wizard’s Turf Program has a significant edge in sifting the data to make this calculation whereas the general public does not have knowledge of this important metric. With Mexican Sugar the Turf program calculated theoretical odds of 1-1 versus final odds of 7-1 while Perroto’s theoretical odds were 3-2 versus final odds of 4-1. Perrota paid $10.40 and Mexican Sugar $17.80 for the win. The ROI with first selections today at Monmouth was 116% (($34.6/$16)/$16).

Race 5

Race 9

Here are the projections for today’s G1 $1 mil. Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill, run at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt for four-year-olds. The race has a stellar field, including 2024 Breeders Cup Classic Winner, #4 Sierra Leone, 2024 Kentucky Derby Winner, #5 Mystik Dan, Santa Anita Gold Cup Winner, #3 Skippylongstocking, and Dubai World Cupper winner, #6 Hit Show. Two horses that are showing value in their COMP are #1 First Mission ( 38.8%) at 4-1 and #3 Skippylongstocking (28.1%) at 6-1.