The program had a nice result today in the $300K G2 San Felipe Handicap at Santa Anita today, run at 1 1/16 mi. on the dirt for three-year-olds, having the superfecta order correct with its first four selections of #2 Journalism at 3-1, #3 Barnes at 3-5, #4 Rodriguez at 7-2 and #1 Mellencamp at 20-1. The $2 tri-fecta paid $24.12 and the $0.10 superfecta paid $2.09. Journalism with strong stats in his favor, like 66.4% SPD win estimate and 89.1% LP win estimate, put away the heavy favorite, Barnes at 3-5, down the stretch in a fast time of 1:42:24.

On the last day of February the Program had fine results at Santa Anita. The program had winners with its first selections in five out of the eight races followed. These were in the (#2 Jai Ho – $4.20), 2nd (#4 Discrepancy – $3.00), 3rd (#3 El Rey Rey – $10.60), 5th (#3 I’m a Bad Boy – $4.00) and 6th (#3 Captain Willis – $13.80). The ROI for these eight races was 123%. Additionally, the program had the tri-fecta order correct with its first three selections of #3 Captain Willis at 5-1, #8 Empress Lorraine at 3-2 , #9 Hoser Satrapa at 5-1 in the 6th. The $2 tri-fecta paid $234.60.

Santa Anita Races 1 – 9 (Race 7 excluded for lack of data)

Click to access sax0228.pdf

Race 6 at Santa Anita

Here are the selection results of the program for Aqueduct, Gulfstream and Tampa.

Aqueduct – Winners with first selections in the 1st ($6.10), 2nd ($3.50), 4th ($5.90), 5th ($3.90): -3% ROI for 10 races.

Click to access aqu0223.pdf

Gulfstream – Winners with first selection in the 1st ($6.00), 3rd ($10.40), 4th ($27.60), 10th ($5.80): +149% ROI for 10 races.

Click to access gpx0223.pdf

Tampa Bay – Winners with first selections in the 4th ($4.20), 5th ($7.40), 8th ($12.40), 9th ($7.00): +72% ROI for 9 races.

Click to access tam0223.pdf

Race 4 at Gulfstream – The program had #5 Yemrehanakristos at 12-1 as its first selection, paying $27.60 for the win.

The program had a good result to start off in the 1st race at Tampa today, a $5K claiming race at 1 mi. 40y on the dirt for four-year-olds and up, with its first selection of #2 Mr. Tito’s at 5-1. The horse had a total win probability of 26.14%, translating into odds of 5-2. Mr. Tito’s projected 1st in final speed with a win estimate of 39.0% while also having the highest win percentage in the field at 18.2%. In the race, Mr. Tito’s stalked the pace from mid pack until the half mile mark before making a move four wide around the far turn. The horse took the lead down the stretch and held on at the wire to beat #8 He’s a Good Dancer in a photo. Mr. Tito’s paid $13 for the win. The program also had the exacta order among its first three selections.

Race 2 at Tampa saw another result for the program, this time with #8 Mr. Crowley at 62-1, who had a total win probability of only 8.74% (10-1 theoretical odds) but high E2 and COMP values of 44.3% and 45.%. The latter signified that Mr. Crowley’s had about 6-5 strength with his components in the aggregate in the simulation. The winner, #6 Lamplighter Jack, had similar measures with the highest E1 and E2 values of 52.7% and 54.3% along with a 45.6%. Interestingly, the race went according to COMP with Lamplighter Jack finishing 1st at 15-1 and Mr. Crowley second at 62-1. The $1 exacta paid a whopping $827.20.