With the Breeders Cup going on concurrently, the Turf Program had a nice result in the 4th race at Gulftream, a $60K maiden claiming race at 1 1/6 off the turf for three-year-olds. The first selection was #10 Siciliano with a total win probability of 20.78%, translating into theoretical odds of 7-2. The horse went off at 8-1. In the race, Siciliano, with its 100% LP win estimate, came up late at the wire. The horse paid $19.20 for the win.
The program had a number of good results today on the first day of the Breeders Cup at Del Mar. In the 4th race (the $200K After Alliance Stakes at 1 mi. on the turf) and with a fourteen horse field, the Turf Program had the winner with its first selection in #10 Chasing Liberty at 6-1. The horse had a total win probability of 16.3%, translating into theoretical odds of 5-1. Chasing Liberty had the highest win percentage, adjusted for stakes, at 22.8% (4-1 equivalent). Chasing Liberty paid $15.60 for the win.
In the 9th race, the $2 mil. Breeders Cup Juvenile (1 1/6 mi. on the dirt) the Grey program had the order of the exacta with its first two selections in reverse. The second selection, #6 Citizen Bull at 15-1, came in first and the 1st selection, #7 Gaming at 6-1, came in second. The $2 exacta paid $142.20.
Preakness winner, Seize the Grey, won the Pennsylvania Derby today in thrilling fashion, holding off a late charging #11 Stronghold at the wire. The Grey Program had Seize the Grey as its first selection with a total win probability of 18.28%, converting to theoretical odds of 9-2. The horse went off at 4-1 while #11 Stronghold at 5-1 finished second and the favorite #7 Dragoon Guard third. Seize the Grey paid $10.60 for the win and the $1 exacta paid $41.
The Grey Program had an excellent result in the 3rd race at Belmont at Aqueduct, a $12.5K claiming race at 6f on the dirt for three-year-olds, having the correct order of the tri-fecta with its top three selections of #10 Commerce Comet at 3-1, #6 Jake Rocks at 5-2 and #4 Thank You John at 10-1. The $0.50 tri-fecta paid $37.25.
The Turf Program had a very nice result in the 3rd at Parx, the $100 Alphabet Soup Handicap, run at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds and up. The program’s first two selections were #7 Crisper at 5-2 and #11 Fierce and Strong at 3-1. This was the order of finish for win and place, with Crisper making a wide move around the far turn to catch Fierce and Strong just before the wire. The $1 ex. paid $12.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 