Another positive result for the program today was in the 8th race at Aqueduct, a $28k claiming race at 1 mi. on the dirt for three-year files and mares, where the program had the correct order of the exacta. #11 Jerusalema was the first selection with a total win probability of 25% versus final odds of 4-1, which made her an overlay. The horse had the highest final speed projection at 37% after throwing out its last two anomalous final speed figures, which the program does automatically. The horse also had a high COMP value at 46%, signaling strength in its component speed figures in the aggregate. The second selection was #12 Raffinity at 8-5, who had a total win probability of 19.07%. In the race, Jerusalema stalked Raffinity from second position after the half mile before taking the lead coming out of the far turn. The horse went on to win by four lengths. Jerusalema paid $10 for the win.

The Handicap Wizard had a good result today in the 8th race at Gulfstream, a $25K claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year olds. The program’s first selection was #3 Therapist with a total win probability of 20.50% versus final odds of 7-2. At that price, the horse was slight underlay when its fair value was 4-1. The favorite was #6 On Thin Ice at 5-2, who had no statistical support for those odds. Therapist tied with #12 Battle Scars for having the highest SPD win projection at 35%, although Therapist’s risk was lower with a Coefficient of Variance of 4.85%. In the race, Therapist broke to the lead after coming five wide out of the far turn and then surged down the stretch to win by three lengths. Therapist paid $9 for the win.

The Handicap Wizard had the winner with its first selection in #5 Venti Valentine in the $100K Bayridge Stakes at Aqueduct today, run at 1 mi. on the dirt for three-year filles and mares. With a total win probability of 33.12%, Venti Valentine was priced roughly at fair value at 2-1, while the favorite, #6 Let Her Inspire U, was at 4-5. This race came down to Venti-Valentine’s class (35.3% WP) versus Let Her Inspire U’s speed (51% SPD), with Venti Valentine rallying down the stretch to win on the mud at Aqueduct.

The Handicap Wizard had the winner with its first selection in race 4 yesterday at Tampa, a $20K claiming race at 6 1/2f on the dirt for three year olds. Against two horses with lower odds and another with the same odds at 7/2, the program had #2 Hard Belle rated best with a total win probability of 27.4%. At that price the horse was a slight overlay. Hard Belle had the highest final speed estimate of 50% versus average risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 7.28%. The horse also had the highest LP estimate at 66.2%, indicating dominant strength in late speed. Thanks to some very good jockeying down the stretch, the horse wove through traffic to win by a head. Everything that the program projected in Hard Belle’s top final and late speed you could see in this race.

The Handicapwizard Grey Version had the winner with its first selection, #6 Winter’s Ghost, in the 3rd race at Tampa, a $8K claiming race at 1 1/16 mi. on the dirt for three-year olds. The horse went off at 9-5, but there were indications in the data like with its SPD, LP and COMP estimates of 78.4%, 50.1% and 72.3% that the horse’s true value was some where between 2-5 and 1-1. With such dominating projections, Winter’s Ghost sailed to victory in easy fashion, winning by nine-lengths.