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There was a nice result for the program in the 5th race at Gulfstream today, a $25K Clm at 5 1/2f on the dirt for four-year-old and up. The first selection was #2 Ortus at 6-1, who had a total winning probability of 23.22%, translating to odds of 7-2. The horse projected first in SPD with a win estimate of 34.9% (about 2-1 strength) while having the second highest win percentage at 19.4% (4-1 strength). Along with projecting first in SPD, the horse also had low risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 5.27%. In the race, Ortus came from off the pace down the stretch to win in a dead heat with #9 Kantknowitall at 5-2. Ortus paid $6.40 for the win in the dead heat and $7.20 for the place.

The program had the winner with its first selections in two graded stakes races at Gulfstream today, the $165K Mucho Macho Man Stakes for three-year-olds in the 10th and the $165K Ginger Brew Stakes for three-year-olds fillies in the 11th. In the Mucho Macho Man, the Grey Program had #1 Guns Loaded at 6-5 first, who had a total win probability of 28.4% (5-2 theoretical odds). And in the Ginger Brew, the Turf Program had #10 Nitrogen at 9-5 first, who had a total win probability of 29.58% (almost 2-1 theoretical odds). Both the horses were favorites in their race and underlays. Guns Loaded paid $4.60 and Nitrogen $5.60 for the win.

$165K Mucho Macho Man Stakes

$165K Ginger Brew Stakes

The Turf Program had another good result today, this time in the 8th race at the Fairgrounds, a $59K allowance race run at 5f on the turf for four-year-olds and up. The first selection was #Numero Seis at 6-1 with a total win probability of 29.69%, translating to theoretical odds of 2-1. The horse projected second in final speed with a win estimate of 25.1% but had high E1 and E2 estimates of 71.2% and 49.4% along with a 45% COMP (equating to 6-5 strength) and 25.3% win percentage (3-1 strength with money wins). The horse’s speed profile with superior E1 and E2 projections fitted the 5f distance of the race extremely well. In the race, Numero Seis led from start to finish, digging in well in the last sixteenth. The horse paid $14 for the win.

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The Turf Program had a good result in the 3rd race at Tampa today, a $24k maiden race at 1 mi. on the turf for maiden three-year-old fillies, with its first selection of #6 Dynamic Actress at 7-2. With just a few horses having previous starts on turf, Dynamic Actress had a total win probability of 67.68%, translating to odds of 1-2. The horse projected 2nd in SPD with a win estimate of 33% but 1st in E1, E2 and COMP with dominate estimates of 77/8%, 100% and 77.6%. In the race, Dynamic Actress went wire-to-wire in the win, paying $9.80. The race once again illustrates the value of having pure turf perspective and projections.

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The program had another tri-fecta result at Parx today, this time in the $75K Mrs. Klaus Stakes in the 8th, with its first three selections of #8 Irish Maxima at 1-2, #2 Confirmed Star at 9-2 and #5 Disco Ebb at 4-1. The $0.50 tri-fecta paid $6.40.

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