Category: Uncategorized

Race 9 at Gulfstream, Fri., July 12

The Grey program had a nice result in the 9th race at Gulfstream today, a $16K claiming race off the turf for three-year-old fillies and mares. #8 Platinum Rocker was the first selection with a total win probability of 27.09% (5-2 odds equivalent) compared to final odds of 4-1. The horse projected first in final speed with a 50.9% win estimate (1-1 odds equivalent) while having slightly higher risk with a Coefficient of Variance of 11.54%. In the race, Platinum Rocker led from start to finish, beating two favorites in #10 Bellweather at 7-5 and #7 Miss Holly at 2-1. The finish was exciting with Platinum Rocker digging in against two challengers with less than a length lead for the last sixteenth of the race. Platinum Rocker paid $10.40 for the win.

Race 3 at Saratogo, Fri., July 12

There was a good opportunity with the Turf Program in race 3 at Saratoga today, a $100K maiden race at 1 1/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds. The program had as its first selection #1a Storm Ready at 4-1 (2-1 theoretical odds) while its second selection was #8 Inherent Promise at 10-1 compared to having theoretical odds of about 5-2. Projecting second in final speed with a 40.5% win estimate (7-5 equivalent), a 53.9% COMP and a 16.3% win percentage (6-1 equivalent), Inherent Promise was a strong candidate for a win or place wager. In the race, Inherent Promise saved ground by staying on the one path on the back stretch in sixth position until the far turn when the horse gained ground and then found clear running room along the rail. The horse sped up to take second before finishing a length back of the winner, #7 Clever Mischief at 5-1, who was a foreign horse. Inherent Promise paid $10.00 for the place.

Race 1 at Saratoga, Thurs., July 11

The program got off to a good start in the opening at Saratoga today, a $20K claiming race at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt. The first selection was #7 Empty Tomb at 6-1, who had a total win probability of 25.77% or theoretical odds of 5-2. The horse projected first in final speed with a 44.7% win estimate while having the second highest win percentage at 18.7%. In the race, Empty Tomb broke to the lead and went wire to wire, beating the two favorites, #6 Accidental Hero at 5-2 and #8 Rocco Strong at 3-1. Empty Tomb paid $15.00 for the win. This was a perfect setup with the program with the 1st selection being an overlay and winning.

Race 9 at Hawthorne, Sat., July 6

In the finale at Hawthorne in race 9, a $33K allowance race at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds, the Turf Program had the winner with its first selection of #4 Code Name at 5-1. The horse had a total win probability of 26.41%, converting to theoretical odds of 5-2. Code Name led from start to finish in the race, who was stalked and then challenged by #8 Man on the Attack at 9-1 around the far turn before that horse weakened to finish third.

G1 Belmont Derby at Belmont at the Big A, Sat., July 6

The Turf Program had the winner with its first selection of #4 Trikari in race 6 at Belmont at the Big A today, the G1 $750K Belmont Derby, which was run at 1 3/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds. Trikari had a total win probability of 39.17%, translating into theoretical odds of 8-5 versus final odds of 5-1. Trikari beat the two favorites, #1 Legend of Time at 3-2, and #5 Endlessly at 8-5. Trikari paid $12.40 for the win.