Category: Uncategorized

Race 1 at Saratoga, Thurs., July 11

The program got off to a good start in the opening at Saratoga today, a $20K claiming race at 1 1/8 mi. on the dirt. The first selection was #7 Empty Tomb at 6-1, who had a total win probability of 25.77% or theoretical odds of 5-2. The horse projected first in final speed with a 44.7% win estimate while having the second highest win percentage at 18.7%. In the race, Empty Tomb broke to the lead and went wire to wire, beating the two favorites, #6 Accidental Hero at 5-2 and #8 Rocco Strong at 3-1. Empty Tomb paid $15.00 for the win. This was a perfect setup with the program with the 1st selection being an overlay and winning.

Race 9 at Hawthorne, Sat., July 6

In the finale at Hawthorne in race 9, a $33K allowance race at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds, the Turf Program had the winner with its first selection of #4 Code Name at 5-1. The horse had a total win probability of 26.41%, converting to theoretical odds of 5-2. Code Name led from start to finish in the race, who was stalked and then challenged by #8 Man on the Attack at 9-1 around the far turn before that horse weakened to finish third.

G1 Belmont Derby at Belmont at the Big A, Sat., July 6

The Turf Program had the winner with its first selection of #4 Trikari in race 6 at Belmont at the Big A today, the G1 $750K Belmont Derby, which was run at 1 3/16 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds. Trikari had a total win probability of 39.17%, translating into theoretical odds of 8-5 versus final odds of 5-1. Trikari beat the two favorites, #1 Legend of Time at 3-2, and #5 Endlessly at 8-5. Trikari paid $12.40 for the win.

Race 5 at Belmont at the Big A, Thurs., July 4

The program had a nice win in the 5th at Belmont at the Big A, a $35K optional claiming race at 1 mi. on the dirt for three-year-old fillies and mares. The first selection was #6 Call Her Bluff with a total win probability of 30.95%, converting to theoretical odds of about 2-1. Her final odds were 5-1. Call Her Bluff projected first in final speed with a 54.4% win estimate (4-5 odds strength) and had the highest LP in the field at 48.5%. Call Her Bluff took the lead on the inside coming out of the far turn and never looked back, winning by four lengths over #1 Just Music at 3-1.