Here are the projections for tomorrow’s G2 $1.25m Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn, run at 1 1/16 mi. on the dirt for three year olds. The program is favoring #7 Timberlake with a 46.03% total win probability, equating close to 1-1 odds. Note that the horse’s morning line is 1.2 or 6/5, showing how accurate Pro-Handicap Wizard’s theoretical odds are as an independent program. Timberlake appears to be a classic horse, projecting 1st in SPD in the simulation at 86.5%, 1st in E2 at 58.7% and 1st in LP at 53.1%. The horse is also the class in the race with a win percentage adjusted for stakes of 20.7% (4-1 equivalent). With its dominance, Timberlake looks set for victory and should go off at a short price. To see the image in high resolution, click on it and then click on the encircled “i” in the bottom left hand corner. Then scroll down slightly and click on the link for full-size view in the center.
Pro-Handicap Analytics 