The Turf Program had the superfecta order correct in the $200K Mathis Mile Stakes at Santa Anita today, run at 1 mi. on the turf for three-year-olds, with its first four selections of #1 King of Gosford at 3-5, #5 Stay Hot at 5-2, #2 Atitlan at 8-1 and #9 Lord Bullingnan at 10-1. The $0.10 superfecta paid $3.25 (32-1 combined odds equivalent).
There was a good opportunity in the 9th at Gulfstream today, a $20K OC at 5 1/2 f on the dirt for three-year-old fillies an mares, with #7 David’s Rose at 34-1. The program valued her stronger at 10-1, thanks to strong projections in E1 and E2 with win estimates of 58.3% and 27.4%. David’s Rose also had a strong COMP value at 38.9% (2-1 strength) with average risk according to its CV value of 6.59% . In the race, David’s Rose accelerated around the far turn and took and held on to the lead down the stretch. The horse paid $70.80 for the win. This race showcases the accuracy and power of projections with the Handicap Wizard’s simulation engine.
The Turf Program had an excellent result in the second graded stakes race at Gulfstream today in the 8th, the $140K Via Borghese at 1 3/8 mi. on the turf for three-year-old fillies and mares, with its first selection of #9 La Mehana at 2-1. The horse had a total win probability of 21.00%, converting to odds of about 7-2. La Mehana projected first in SPD with a 29.9% win estimate (2-1 strength) as well as first in LP with a 59.8% win estimate (3-5 strength). In the race, La Mehana’s dominant late speed proved decisive with the horse holding on for the win down the stretch. The horse paid $6.60 or the win. The favorite, #8 Forever After All at 1-1, came in second.
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